Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 5.001284 5.769899 6.615985 7.616322 8.766734 10.048382 11.584848
2024-12-15 4.091997 5.133993 6.378248 7.973135 9.963468 12.366159 15.488892
2024-12-22 3.278754 4.428070 5.901983 7.929938 10.648432 14.168719 19.078779
2024-12-29 2.891295 4.171493 5.921666 8.487549 12.154595 17.210613 24.722166
2025-01-05 2.531768 3.878787 5.830379 8.861269 13.451825 20.151150 30.689614
2025-01-12 2.171387 3.514991 5.568003 8.929287 14.298162 22.551188 36.230358
2025-01-19 1.779805 3.031934 5.041779 8.497250 14.294685 23.644800 39.909221
2025-01-26 1.618911 2.890883 5.027513 8.870424 15.616768 26.989176 47.671014
2025-02-02 1.525175 2.845832 5.160224 9.501531 17.451276 31.415082 57.882412
2025-02-09 1.383655 2.691183 5.076046 9.730586 18.599989 34.795153 66.712560
2025-02-16 1.248557 2.525782 4.945234 9.847958 19.548641 37.922880 75.494216
2025-02-23 1.088989 2.287274 4.640702 9.583659 19.721507 39.606486 81.720675
2025-03-02 0.934187 2.038770 4.289591 9.193018 19.624586 40.826749 87.365934
2025-03-09 0.853834 1.933381 4.212519 9.355214 20.687289 44.520191 98.661882
2025-03-16 0.751560 1.763992 3.976420 9.142250 20.921228 46.530357 106.681727
2025-03-23 0.720091 1.749007 4.072598 9.677766 22.881709 52.511005 124.352259
2025-03-30 0.677833 1.701987 4.089748 10.034716 24.488310 57.930382 141.551019
2025-04-06 0.618998 1.605399 3.977665 10.068715 25.339570 61.740929 155.527371
2025-04-13 0.535659 1.434108 3.661672 9.556533 24.787489 62.169022 161.347668
2025-04-20 0.511269 1.410833 3.706717 9.959403 26.584201 68.533970 182.977908
2025-04-27 0.502566 1.427894 3.856484 10.656428 29.242509 77.411660 212.399957
2025-05-04 0.473193 1.383596 3.839582 10.906121 30.752058 83.554231 235.480201
2025-05-11 0.441262 1.326936 3.781202 11.033155 31.946376 89.031458 257.561103